U.S. Presidential Elections Study: 1880 Election Horoscope

April 27, 2014 by  

Ghazi-ud-din Haider: King of Oudh by David Hume, early 19th century

Ghazi-ud-din Haider: King of Oudh by David Hume, early 19th century

As you may know, in early 2012 I studied Aries Ingress horoscopes for the United States for presidential election years to determine whether there was a common thread indicating the winner. To my surprise, I did find a method that seemed to work, and used it to present a prediction of Barack Obama winning the 2012 election, at the New Orleans United Astrology Conference (UAC) in May of that year. You can read the details of the 2012 prediction of the US election result here.  That article compares the 1880 and 2012 Presidential elections, as they had some astrological similarities.

Since then, I have received a number of queries to see the rest of the data, and to share the method. We are about 2.5 years away from another Presidential election now, so the speculation as to the winning side is slowly gathering steam. To respond to the requests for more information, I have decided to write a series of articles, one for each election chart starting in 1880, through 2016. This will allow interested readers to follow my reasoning and examine the method used. What is unique about this study in astrological circles is that I came to the charts with few preconceived notion about how the charts would show the winning party; I relied on them to show the method, since we already knew the presidential election result.

Sometimes I get asked why I chose 1880; I simply worked backwards from the then-known results (2008) until I felt I had a good handle on how the horoscopes indicated the winner each time.  By the time I got to 1880, I had run across some very obvious horoscopes, and a few challenging ones, so felt I had a good sample.  There is nothing magical about having stopped at 1880.

1880 Presidential Election Horoscope

As always, we cast the Aries Ingress horoscope set for Washington, D.C. in a Presidential Election year.  The Aries Ingress is a horoscope set for the moment the Sun enters Aries, the start of the astrological New Year.  It is a long-standing tradition that the moment of the horoscope holds the seeds for major events for that location in the upcoming 12 months.

1880 Aries Ingress Horoscope

1880 Aries Ingress, 3/20/1880, 0:05:27 am LMT, Washington, D,C.

Our Assumptions for Each Ingress Horoscope

Incumbent and his party are the 10th house of the “king.”   This assignment goes back at least as far as the Hellenistic astrologers of 2000 years ago, though I am looking to the more recent medieval Arabic astrological texts.  The challenger and his party is the 4th house and its ruler. This is because the 4th house is the 7th from the 10th; the king’s opponent. In our Aries Ingress horoscope, we examine what is happening to each candidate’s house and ruler to determine who wins.

We use traditional planetary rulers of signs only (no Uranus, Neptune, Pluto), though all planets are displayed in the chart.

Horoscope Analysis

1. The 10th house is ruled by Virgo, and its ruler is Mercury stationary in Aries, in the 4th house. There are no planets in the 10th house, so we look exclusively to the ruling planet. The very next aspect is the Moon in Cancer (dignified as it is in the sign of its domicile) about to form a square aspect to Mercury.  Square aspects are not considered “easy,” but we will see in chart after chart that the nature of the aspect does not matter, so long as a candidate’s planet connects with another strong planet somehow.

2. The 4th house is ruled by Jupiter in Pisces conjunct the 4th house cusp. The fourth house has a dignified Jupiter on the cusp, and the Sun, exalted in Aries, just inside the cusp. Mercury and Saturn in Aries are there, as well. Jupiter does not have any planets applying to it very soon; certainly no sooner than the immediate Moon-Mercury square.

Conclusion: The incumbent party stays in power.

The Election Horoscope Yields Two Key Rules for Predicting the Winner of the Election…

1. Is either planetary ruler applying to another planet in its own sign or exaltation, or in a sign where candidate’s planet is strong (house, exaltation, triplicity)? If so, that is the winner.

2. Is there a planet or Node closely conjunct the 10th or 4th house cusp that is not the 10th or 4th ruler and in the same sign as the cusp? Its benefic/malefic nature helps or harms the incumbent or opponent, respectively. If only Jupiter in Pisces was not also the ruler of the 4th house here; its presence would have handed the challenger the White House.  A candidate’s planet on that person’s house cusp might indicate that candidate staying home, as it were.  The other planet on the 4th house cusp is the exalted Sun in Aries, which would be helpful if only it wasn’t in a different sign than the house cusp.  Tough luck.

…and a Couple of More Minor Observations:

3.  It does not seem to matter that a late degree is on the 4th/10th house cusps.

4.  One candidate’s planet (in this case, Mercury, ruling the incumbent Republicans) placed in the other candidate’s house does not seem to harm the candidate ruled by the emplaced planet.

What Actually Happened in the 1880 Presidential Election

The Republican Party had the White House, but the incumbent president, Rutherford Hayes, did not seek re-election. The party nominated James A. Garfield as their candidate. The Democratic challenger was Winfield S. Hancock, a Civil War general. The race was rather close; Garfield won 214 electoral college votes to Hancock’s 155, with each side garnering about 48% of the popular vote. Wikipedia notes that “this was the closest election ever in terms of popular vote (with a margin of fewer than 10,000) and states carried…”  (Note that some sources have the margin as 2000 popular votes.)

The incumbent party retained the White House, though the actual holder of the Presidential office had changed.

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